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John C Duffy

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Curriculum Vitae

John C Duffy

University Education

University of Reading M.Sc. in Biometry 1969-70

University of Edinburgh B.Sc. Mathematical Science 2nd 1965-69
(1st in class Mathematical Statistics 4)

Most recent post (retired 30 March 2012)

Deputy Director Knowledge Management Scottish Further and Higher Education Funding Council


Statistics, funding models, IT, corporate planning, records management, special projects, funds sign off.

Previous positions

Department of Primary Care University of Birmingham. Head of Statistics May 2001 – Nov 2003

Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of Edinburgh. Director of STATLAB and senior lecturer Nov 1999 - May 2001

Chief Scientist Office Scottish Office Department of Health. Research Manager (NHS Senior Manager Grade 7) Nov 1996 - Nov 1999

Alcohol Research Group Department of Psychiatry University of Edinburgh Director of Statistics and Information Professorial Research Fellow – AR4 May 1990 - Oct 1996

Inveresk Research International Full-time Consultant Head of Statistics (secondment)Sept – Nov 1988

Department of Statistics University of Edinburgh and MRC Unit for Epidemiological
Studies in Psychiatry Royal Edinburgh Hospital, Joint appointment as lecturer
and research scientist (Promoted to senior lecturer, 1990) Jan 1971 - May 1990

Group Technical Department British Steel Corporation Ravenscraig Motherwell. Statistician Oct-Dec 1970


Teaching and research supervision

I have taught a wide range of statistical topics at service, undergraduate and postgraduate level, most recently in the areas of Sampling and Simulation, and was involved in curriculum development and teaching on the Advanced Quantitative Methods postgraduate course in Social Sciences in the University of Edinburgh. I have taught service courses to medical, veterinary, biological sciences and social sciences students.

In both the Departments of Statistics and Psychiatry I supervised numerous short research projects on M.Sc. and M.Phil. courses and research theses for higher degrees.

I have organised short courses on systematic review (Glasgow Caledonian University, January 2001), Survival Analysis (Edinburgh University, 1996) and taught the bulk of the Revision Course for MRC Psych Critical Review Paper (Birmingham Medical Institute, 2001).

Major Research Grants

2002 Joint grantholder Effect of long-term acid suppression on gastro-intestinal malignancy: a cohort study. £152,180. Sir James Black Foundation.

2002 Joint grantholder Early Detection and Treatment of Adolescent Psychosis: a collaboration between primary and secondary care in the inner city. £282,421. North Birmingham Mental Health Trust.

1995 Grantholder of £190,000 from the Alcohol Education and Research Council for a project on development of standardised indices of alcohol consumption and harm.
1989 Joint grantholder of £500,000 over 5 years from the Portman Group to support research in alcohol studies, and my secondment to the Alcohol Research Group as Director, Statistics and Information.

Recent Research Projects

A missing data approach to performance indicators

Random effects in meta-analysis – an exploration of mechanisms

Statistical Process Control methods in education and healthcare




Duffy, J.C., (1992) Alcohol and Illness: the Epidemiological Viewpoint, Edinburgh University Press.

Duffy, J.C. (1991) Trends in Alcohol Consumption Patterns 1978-89, Henley on Thames: NTC Publications.

Duffy, J.C. (1989) Generalized Linear Models In Epidemiology, EUSTAT, Vitoria, Spain.

Buglass, D., Kreitman, N. and Duffy, J.C. (1980) A register of social and medical indices by local government area in Edinburgh and the Lothians - Parts I and II (sep.). Central Research Unit Papers, Scottish Office. ca 150 pp.

Book Chapters

Duffy J.C. (2011) Single Distribution Theory of Consumption, in Encyclopaedia of Drug Policy, Kleiman, M.A.R. and Hawdon, J.E.(eds.) Sage: New York.

Duffy, J.C. (2002) Published figures from primary studies, in Meta-analysis of observational studies, Ateliers de Formation 137: INSERM: Paris

Duffy, J.C. (2002) Publication bias In Meta-analysis of observational studies, Ateliers de Formation 137: INSERM: Paris

Duffy, J.C. (2002) Problems of interpretation In Meta-analysis of observational studies, Ateliers de Formation 137: INSERM: Paris

Duffy, J.C., Morrison, D., Peck, D. (1998) Research design, measurement and statistics, in Companion to Psychiatric Studies Johnstone, E.C., Freeman, C.P.L. and Zealley, A.K. (eds.) Churchill Livingstone.

Duffy, J.C., (1992) Scottish licensing changes, in Alcohol and Drugs: the Scottish Experience, Plant et al (eds), Edinburgh University Press.

Alanko, T., and Duffy, J.C. (1992) Experiences from using the SAS system in a large consumption simulation study, Proceedings of the SAS European Users Group International Conference, 596-607.

Duffy, J.C. (1990) Data Collection: a methodological response, in Alcohol and Drugs: Research and Policy (Plant, M.A., Keup, W.E. and Osterberg, E., eds.), Edinburgh University Press.

Ballesteros, J., Querejeta, I., Rivas, M-A. and Duffy, J.C. (1990) Suicide in Spain 1961-1981: an age-period-cohort analysis, in Suicidal Behaviour and Risk Factors (Ferrari,G., Bellini, M. and Crepet, P., eds.) Bologna: Monduzzi Editore.

Duffy, J.C. (1989) Total alcohol consumption in a population and alcohol-related problems, in Drinking to Your Health, (Anderson, D., ed.), Social Affairs Unit, London.

Duffy, J.C. (1988) Statistics definitions in Chambers Science and Technology Dictionary (Walker, P., ed), Chambers, Edinburgh.

Bartholomew, R.S., Clayton, R.M., Cuthbert, J., Phillips, C.I., Duffy, J.C., McK. Reid, J., Seth, J., Truman, D.E.S., Wilson, C. and Yim, S-H. (1980) Analysis of individual cataract patients and their lenses: preliminary observations on a population basis, in Ageing of the Lens. (Regnault, F., Hockwin, O. and Courtois, Y., eds.) Elsevier North Holland, Amsterdam. 241-261.

Duffy, J.C. (1977) Estimating the proportion of heavy drinkers, in The Ledermann Curve, (Davies, D.L., ed.) 11-24, Alcohol Education Centre, London.

Peer –reviewed journals

Lowe, R., Chung, C., Heim, D., Duffy, J., Davies, J.,  Pennebaker, J.  In verbis, vinum? Relating themes in an open-ended writing task to alcohol behaviours (submitted to Addiction).

Penny, K., Morton, I., Ashraf, M., Duffy, J. Imputing Scottish student retention rates using propensity score matching (submitted to Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A).

Ballesteros, J.,  Santos, B., Duffy,J.  (2012) The combination of final and gain scores to summarize the effect size of clinical trials by means of the standardized mean difference could bias the overall efficacy estimate. J Clin Psychopharmacol (in press).

Penny, K.I., Ashraf, M.Z. and Duffy, J.C.(2007) The Use of Hot-deck Imputation to Compare Performance of Further Education Colleges,  Journal of Computing and Information Technology, 15(4), 313-318.

Moayyedi, P., Duffy, J. and Delaney, B. (2004) New approaches to enhance the accuracy of the diagnosis of reflux disease. Gut 53: 55-57.

Ballesteros, J., Duffy, J.C., Querejeta I., Arino,J., Gonzalez-Pinto, A. (2004) Efficacy of brief interventions for hazardous drinkers in primary care: systematic review and meta-analyses. Alcohol Clin Exp Res.28: 608-18.

Forbes, F.C.M., Duffy, J.C. and Mok, J. (2003) Early intervention service for non-abusing parents of child sexual abuse victims. British Journal of Psychiatry 183: 66-72.

Duffy, J.C. (2003) Association between aspects of drinking pattern and experience of alcohol-related problems. Addiction Research and Theory, 11, 195-205.

Cohen, G.R., Duffy, J.C. (2002) Are nonrespondents to health surveys less healthy than respondents? Journal of Official Statistics, 18, 13-23

Leonard, T., Duffy, J.C. (2002) A Bayesian fixed-effects analysis of the Mantel-Haenszel model applied to meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 21, 2295-2312.

Duffy, J.C. (1996) Alcohol and all-cause mortality - author’s response. International Journal of Epidemiology, 25, 218-220.

Duffy, J.C.and Pinot de Moira, A. (1996) Changes in licensing law in England and Wales and indicators of alcohol-related problems. Addiction Research, 4, 245-271.

Alanko, T. and Duffy, J.C. (1996) Modelling compound binomial distributions: the distribution of drinking days. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series D, 45, 269-286.

Miller, P., Plant, M., Plant, M., Duffy, J (1995) Alcohol, Tobacco, Illicit Drugs, and Sex: An Analysis of Risk Behavior among Young Adults. International Journal of the Addictions, 30, 239-258.

Pinot de Moira A., and Duffy, J.C. (1995) Changes in licensing law in England and Wales and alcohol-related mortality. Addiction Research, 3, 151-164.

Duffy, J.C., (1995) Alcohol consumption and all-cause mortality. International Journal of Epidemiology, 24, 100-105.

Duffy, J.C. (1993) Alcohol consumption and control policy. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 156, 225-230.

Kreitman, N. and Duffy, J.C. (1993) Risk factors for suicide and undetermined death among in-patient alcoholics in Scotland. British Journal of Addiction, 88, 757-766.

Ozamiz, J.A. (Spain) and Duffy, J.C. (1992) Edad, sexo, estado civil y clase social en trastornos afectivos asistidos en el Pais Vasco: un estudio de registro de casos. Psiquis, 13, 81-86.

Duffy, J.C. and Alanko, T. (Finland) (1992) Self-reported consumption measures in sample surveys - a simulation study of alcohol consumption. Journal of Official Statistics, 8, 327-350.

Kreitman, N., Carstairs, V. and Duffy, J.C. (1991) Association of age and social class with suicide among men in Great Britain, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 45, 195-202.

Blackwood, D., St. Clair, D., Muir, W. and Duffy, J.C. (1991) Auditory P300 and eye tracking dysfunction in schizophrenic pedigrees. Archives of General Psychiatry, 48, 899-909.

Surtees, P.G. and Duffy, J.C. (1989) Suicide in England and Wales 1946-85: an age-period-cohort analysis. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 79, 216-223.

Kreitman, N. and Duffy, J.C. (1989) Alcoholic and non-alcoholic liver disease in relation to alcohol consumption in Scotland 1978-84: Part 1 - epidemiology of liver diseases. British Journal of Addiction, 84, 607-618.

Surtees, P.G. and Duffy, J.C. (1989) Binary and rate measures of life event experience: association with illness onset in Edinburgh and London community surveys. Journal of Affective Disorders, 16, 139-149.

Duffy, J.C. (1989) Anopille kelpaavaa olutta? Alkoholipolitiikka, 54, 208-210.

Sales, J., Peck, D., Plant, M. and Duffy, J.C. (1989) Alcohol consumption, cigarette sales and mortality in the United Kingdom: an analysis of the period 1970-1985. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 24, 155-160.

Robinson, A.D.T. and Duffy, J.C. (1989) A comparison of self-injury and self-poisoning from the Regional Poisoning Treatment Centre, Edinburgh. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 80, 272-279.

Duffy, J.C. and Waterton, J.J. (1988) Randomised response vs direct questioning: estimating the prevalence of alcohol related problems in a field survey. Australian Journal of Statistics, 30, 1-14.

Peck, D.F., Plant, M.A. and Duffy, J.C. (1988) Trends in the use and misuse of alcohol and other psychoactive drugs in the United Kingdom: some perplexing connections. British Journal of Addiction, 83, 943-947.

Duffy, J.C. and Latcham, R.W. (1986) Liver cirrhosis mortality in England and Wales compared to Scotland: an age-period-cohort analysis 1941-1981. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, A, l49, 45-49.

Duffy, J.C. and Plant, M.A. (1986) Scotland’s liquor licensing changes: an assessment. British Medical Journal, 292, 36-39.

Platt, S.D. and Duffy, J.C. (1986) Social and clinical correlates of unemployment in two cohorts of male parasuicides. Social Psychiatry, 21, 17-24.

Duffy, J.C (1986) The distribution of alcohol consumption - 30 years on. British Journal of Addiction, 8l, 735-741.

Chick, J., Lloyd, G., Ritson, B. and Duffy, J.C (1986) Medical admissions in men: the risk among drinkers. Lancet, 1986, 1380-1383.

Curson, D.A., Barnes, T.R.E, Bamber, R.W., Platt, S.D., Hirsch, S.R., and Duffy, J.C. (1985). Long-term depot maintenance of chronic schizophrenic out-patients: the seven-year follow-up of the medical research council fluphenazine/placebo trial. British Journal of Psychiatry, 146: 464-480.

Duffy, J.C. (1985) Questionnaire measurement of drinking behaviour in sample surveys. Journal of Official Statistics, 1, 229-234.

Roberts, M.M., French, K. and Duffy, J.C (1984) Breast cancer and breast self-examination: What do Scottish women know? Social Science and Medicine, 118, 791-797.

Duffy, J.C. and Waterton, J.J. (1984) A comparison of computer interviewing techniques and traditional methods in the collection of self-report alcohol consumption data in a field survey. International Statistical Review, 52, 173-182.

Duffy, J.C. and Waterton, J.J. (1984) Randomised response models for estimating the distribution function of a quantitative character. International Statistical Review, 52, 165-171.

Waterton, J.J. and Duffy, J.C. (1984) Under-reporting of alcohol consumption in sample surveys: the effects of computer interviewing in fieldwork. British Journal of Addiction, 79, 303-308.

Waterton, J.J. and Duffy, J.C. (1984) The measurement of alcohol consumption. SCPR Survey Methods Newsletter, Spring 1984, 2-4.

Duffy, J.C. (1982) Fallacy of the distribution of alcohol consumption. Psychological Reports, 50, 125-126.

Clayton, R., Cuthbert, J., Seth, J., Phillips, C., Bartholomew, R.S., McK. Reid, J. and Duffy, J.C.) (1982) Some risk factors associated with cataract in S.E. Scotland: A pilot study. Transactions of the Ophthalmological Societies of the United Kingdom, 102, 331-336.

Duffy, J.C. (1980) The association between per capita consumption of alcohol and the proportion of excessive consumers - reply to Skog. British Journal of Addiction, 75, 147-151.

Clayton, R.M., Cuthbert, J., Phillips, C.I., Bartholomew, R.S., Duffy, J.C., Stokoe, N.L., Ffytche, T., McK. Reid, J., Seth, J. and Alexander, M (1980) Analysis of individual cataract patients and their lenses: a progress report. Experimental Eye Research, 31, 553-566.

Kreitman, N., Duffy, J.C. and Rennie, D. (1980) A register of social and medical indices by local government area in Edinburgh and the Lothians. Health Bulletin, 207-210.

Duffy, J.C. (1979) Aspects of self-reported alcohol consumption in Scotland. Health Bulletin, 39-42.

Buglass, D. and Duffy, J.C., (1978) The ecological pattern of suicide and parasuicide in Edinburgh. Social Science and Medicine, 12, 241-253.

Chick, J. and Duffy, J.C. (1978) Application to the alcohol dependence syndrome of a method of determining the sequential development of symptoms. Psychological Medicine, 9, 313-319.

Duffy, J.C. and Cohen, G. (1978) Total alcohol consumption and excessive drinking. British Journal of Addiction, 73, 259-264.

Duffy, J.C. (1978) Comment on "The Single Distribution Theory of Alcohol Consumption". Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 39, 9, 1648-1650.

Holding, T.A., Kreitman, N., Buglass, D. and Duffy, J.C. (1977) Parasuicide in Edinburgh - A seven-year review 1968-74. British Journal of Psychiatry, 128, 534-543.

Kreitman, N., Plant, M., Miller, T.I. and Duffy, J.C. (1977) Observing public drinking. Quarterly Journal of Studies in Alcohol, 38, 867-880.

Duffy, J.C. (1977) Frequency distribution of hospital-referred parasuicidal episodes in Edinburgh. British Journal of Preventive and Social Medicine, 31, 109-115.

Duffy, J.C. (1977) Alcohol consumption, alcoholism and excessive drinking - errors in estimates from consumption figures. International Journal of Epidemiology, 6, No. 4, 375-379.

Cochrane, R. and Duffy, J.C. (1974) Psychology and scientific method. Bulletin of the British Psychological Society, 27, 117-121.

Duffy, J.C. (1974) (Appendix to) Mental illness in married pairs in a total population, by Hagnell. O. and Kreitman, N.. British Journal of Psychiatry, 125, 293-302.


Duffy, J.C. (2002) Don’t edit out important details

Duffy, J.C. (2002) Surveys – BMJ’s blind spot?

Mohammed, M.A., Cheng, K.K., Rouse, A.Marshall, T., Duffy, J.C. (2001) Was Bristol an outlier? Lancet 2001;358: 2083-2084

Duffy, J.C. (2001) Comments on Addiction editorial (letter). Addiction, 96, 1668.

Duffy, J.C. and Cohen, G. (1995) Mortality associated with wines, beers and spirits - risk function had peculiar properties. British Medical Journal, 311, 1167.

Duffy, J.C. (1994) Alcohol and heart disease - current weekly limits too mean. British Medical Journal, 308, 270-271.

Duffy, J.C. (1994) Analyzing the balance of risk. Addiction, 90, 484-485.

Surtees, P.G. and Duffy, J.C. (1987) Trends in Anorexia Nervosa. Lancet, 1987, 752.

Duffy, J.C. (1975) Letter to the Editor. Bulletin of the British Psychological Society, 28, 320-321.


Duffy, J.C. (2001) Review of ‘Statistics in Psychiatry’, Biometrics, 20, 1287-1288.

Duffy, J.C. (1987) Analytic strategies. Times Higher Education Supplement, 862, 26.


Peck, D.F. and Duffy, J.C. (1985) The presentation and analysis of experimental data. Journal of Psychosomatic Research, 29, 337-339.


Gani, D., Duffy,J. (2008) Numbers Game. Research Fortnight.  17 Dec 2008.

Duffy, J.C. (2001) Back of the class. Scotsman, 24 January 2001

Duffy, J.C. (1993) Drinking your health. New Statesman, 17 September, 30-31.

Duffy, J.C. (1990) AUT(S) and Scottish self-government. AUT Bulletin, 174, 8-9.

Duffy, J.C. (1990) Scottish autonomy and the Universities. Radical Scotland, 45, 18-19.

Plant, M.A and Duffy, J.C (1986) Liberalization of licensing laws: the Scottish experience. Brewing Review, 16, 4-7.

Research Reports

Duffy, J.C. and Alanko, T. (1995) Measurement of alcohol consumption and harm - a review. Report to Alcohol Education and Research Council.

Duffy, J.C. and Fossey, E. (1995) Control policies related to alcohol use - an evaluative review. Report to Alcohol Education and Research Council.

Fisk, P.R., Duffy, J.C and Burnhill, P.M. (1985) A report of the planning of the 1986 Large Scale (10%) Household Survey for Scotland (72 pp plus appendix, prepared for the Scottish Office, unpublished).

Conference Papers and Presentations (Since 1985)

CHINTEX Final Conference: Harmonisation of Surveys and Data Quality Wiesbaden 27 May 2003. “How can we use what we can learn from CHINTEX?”

Royal Statistical Society Leeds Local Group 14 May 2003. “Analysis of means applied to clinical outcomes”

Royal Statistical Society Social Statistics Section London 6 Feb 2003. “The effectiveness of social interventions” – invited dicussant.

Royal Statistical Society One-day meeting on "Performance Monitoring and Surveillance", London Jan 14th 2003. “Graphical Presentation of Clinical Indicators – Don’t re-invent the wheel”

INSERM , La Roche-Posay, France, 4-5 June 2002. “Meta-analysis of observational studies.”

STAKES Helsinki, Finland, 22 March 2002. “Random effects in meta-analysis - problems and alternatives.”

Information Services Division of the Scottish Health Service. Royal College of Surgeons, Edinburgh, 13 November 2001.
“Scottish Clinical Outcomes.”

Preparation Course for MRCPSych Part II, Birmingham, September 2001.
“Statistics for the Critical Review Paper.”

Alcohol Focus Scotland, Consultation on Licensing Law, Glasgow. June 2001.
“Changes in Licensing Law and Alcohol-Related harm.”

Glasgow Caledonian University. January 2001.
“Systematic Review 2001.” (3 day course)

University of Oxford, 3rd Symposium on Systematic Reviews; Beyond the Basics. June 2000.
“A new Bayesian approach to fixed effects models for combining 2x2 tables.”

University of Cambridge, Dept of Public Health, Bradford Hill Seminar. February 1999.
“Bump-hunting: Modes, mixtures and alcohol consumption.”

Royal Statistical Society, Edinburgh Group. November 1998
“Health Services Research in the Chief Scientist Office.”

Institut Catala d' Oncologia, Barcelona, Spain. October 1996
“Statistical methods in meta-analysis” (5-day course)

16th Nordic Conference on Mathematical Statistics, Lahti, Finland August 1996
(with Timo Alanko) On a class of compound binomial distributions, with applications to consumption data.

Royal College of Psychiatrists. Alcohol Dependency Symposium. November 1995.
“Alcohol and mortality - the epidemiological evidence.”

British Psychological Society. Scottish Annual Conference. November 1995
“Alcohol and mortality.”

Glasgow and District Council on Alcohol. November 1994.
“Safe limits - do they exist?”

Scottish Council on Alcohol. October 1994.
“Alcohol and mortality - a brief analysis.”

Grampian Council on Alcohol. September 1994.
“Licensing changes and alcohol-related harm.”

University of Sydney, Australia. 26 August 1994.
“Alcohol, mortality and alcohol control policy.”

Edinburgh Science Festival. 13 April 1993.
“Optimal alcohol consumption.”

Biostatistics Laboratory, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain. November 1992
“Random effects models”

Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge. October 1992.
“Methods of measuring self-reported alcohol consumption.”

Royal Statistical Society, Glasgow Group. October 1992.
“Applied statistics: from social psychiatry to alcohol research.”

WHO European Office, Copenhagen. Working group on evaluation and monitoring of action on alcohol. 1 September 1992. “Quantitative surveys of alcohol use.”

Royal Statistical Society, Social Statistics Section and Medical Section joint meeting, London. 19 May 1992.
“Alcohol and ill-health.”

Sociedad Espanola de Epidemiologia, Madrid, Spain. 12 December 1991. (with J. Ballesteros)
“Mortalidad por cirrosis hepatica en Espana: evolucion temporal.”

Sociedad Espanola de Toxicomanias, Madrid, Spain. October 1991. (with J Ballesteros et al)
“Tendencias en la mortalidad por cirrosis hepatica en Espana: 1976-1985.”
“Tendencias en la mortalidad por cirrosis hepatica: una comparacion internacional.”

Royal Statistical Society Social Statistics Section, London. 4 October 1991.
“Single population theories and control policy: the case of alcohol consumption.”

Peterhouse Seminar, Cambridge. 11-12 July 1991.
“Alcohol consumption and the control theory.”

Alcohol and Health, Edinburgh. 22 May 1991.
“Alcohol and mortality: health implications.”

Social Research Institute for Alcohol Studies, Helsinki. 19 March 1991.
“Teetotallers, alcohol and health.”

Scottish Universities in the 1990s, Edinburgh. 17 November 1990.
“Funding higher education in Scotland.”

Social Psychiatry, Present and Future, Edinburgh. 14-17 October 1990.
“Mortality from chronic liver disease and cirrhosis in England and Wales.”

CBMC, Brussels. October 1990.
“Average alcohol consumption, excess drinking and the risk of harm in a population.”

Addiction Research Foundation, Toronto, Canada. June 1990.
“Liver cirrhosis mortality in England & Wales 1979-1988.”

Sociedad Espanola de Toxicomanias, Vitoria, Spain. November 1989.
“Perspectivas de investigacion en alcoholismo.”

Basque Government Health Department, Bilbao, Spain. September 1989.
“Advanced statistical methods in the analysis of vital rates” (5 day course – supported by an Elcano fellowship from the British Council and the University of the Basque Country)

7th International Statistics Seminar of the Basque Statistical Institute, Bilbao, Spain. February 1989
“Generalized linear models in epidemiology” (3 day course)

18th Medical Advisory Conference, Eastbourne. October 1989.
“Difficulties of estimating deaths attributable to alcohol consumption.”

Royal Statistical Society, Sheffield Local Group, University of Sheffield. October 1987.
“Post-war suicide rates in England and Wales.”

Royal Statistical Society, Edinburgh Local Group, Heriot-Watt University. May 1987.
“Periodicity in Scottish suicide rates 1974-83.”

Royal Statistical Society, North Eastern Local Group, University of Newcastle. March 1987.
“Periodicity in Scottish suicide rates 1974-83.”

Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh. November 1986.
“Scotland’s licensing law changes: an assessment.”

World Health Organisation, International Consultation of Problems Related to Alcohol and Psychoactive Drugs, Edinburgh. May 1986.
“Methods of data collection: lessons for other drugs.”

EURAGE. University of Edinburgh. December 1985.
“Logistic-linear models to adjust for confounding factors in case-control studies.”

Social Statistics Section, Royal Statistical Society, London. November 1985.
“Liver cirrhosis mortality in England & Wales compared to Scotland: an age-period-cohort analysis.”

Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland, Conference on Statistical Methods in Auditing, Peebles Hydro. September 1985.
“Bounds for overstatement error based on the multinomial distribution.”

Mason Conference in Medical Statistics, British Association for the Advancement of Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow. August 1985.
“Liver cirrhosis mortality in England & Wales compared to Scotland: an age-period-cohort analysis 1931-1981.”

Royal Statistical Society, Glasgow Local Group, University of Strathclyde. March 1985.
“A comparison of computer interviewing techniques and traditional methods in the collection of self-reported alcohol consumption in a field survey.”

Centre for Health Economics, University of York. February 1985.
“Randomised response versus direct questioning: estimating the prevalence of alcohol-related problems in a field survey.”


I have been a member of the Royal Statistical Society since 1971, and have contributed to the Society as a member of various committees, (and recently Chair of the Social Statistics Section Committee) throughout my career. I have organised meetings and conferences of the Society, and continue to do so, having a strong commitment to its aims and values.

I was elected a member of the International Statistical Institute in 1991.

Committee memberships

Birmingham Association of University Teachers (Vice-President 2001-2003)
Edinburgh Association of University Teachers (Hon. Sec. 1978-81, Hon. Pres. 1982-85, 1990-94)
University of Edinburgh Joint Consultative and Negotiating Committee (1978-1992)
University of Edinburgh Senatus Academicus (1983-6, 1991-94)
Member of AUT Council (1978 – date)
Member of AUT(Scotland) Executive Committee (1982 – 96, 99-2001)
Member of AUT(Scotland) Council (1978 – 1996, 1996 – 2001)
President AUT(Scotland) 1988-90
Member of AUT Executive Committee, 1988-90, 1992-1996; 1999-2001
Member of AUT MRC Committee, 1994 - 1996
Member of AUT European and International Affairs Committee, 1992 - 1996
Chair of AUT Finance and Membership Committee, 1994 - 1996
Member of AUT Officers Nominating Panel 1987, 1991.
Editor, AUT(S) Profile, 1992 - 1996
Secretary, AUT(S), 1992 - 1996
Member, Advisory Committee, Universities’ Superannuation Scheme Ltd, 1993-1996


Parent representative and chairman of the Flora Stevenson Primary School Board, 1990-92

Member, Scottish Trade Union Congress Education and Training Committee, 1989 -1995

Highland Regional Council Education Department Mathematics Masterclasses Residential Course Inverness – teaching of masterclasses on elementary probability. 2000, 2001.